2021-01-05

The United Nations boldly predicts:80 years later, the global population may exceed 10 billion, China may be overtaken by India

By yqqlm yqqlm

According to the Kyodo News Agency of Japan, the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs boldly predicts that the global population is expected to increase to 9.8 billion by 2050 , And 80 years later, in 2100, the global population may exceed 10 billion, reaching 11.2 billion people. The organization then made a prediction on the population of China, but this number is alarming, because after 2024, they believe that India’s population will surpass China and become the world’s most populous country. By 2100, China’s population will not only It did not rise, but continued to plummet, reaching 1.021 billion people. Japan, which has the same problem, currently has a population decline from 11th. It is estimated that after 2100, the population will plummet to 85 million, ranking 29th in the world.

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United Nations analysis shows that the global average fertility rate has begun to decline from 2015 to 2020 compared to the next 2095 to 2100 period, and Average life expectancy continues to increase. The number of people over 60 in the world will double by 2050, and will triple by 2100. The United Nations deliberately uses Japan as an example to illustrate the seriousness of the situation. According to the current rate of Japan’s population decline, it is likely to disappear in the world in the future. Although my country is slightly optimistic compared with Japan, it must be vigilant, otherwise the consequences Unimaginable.

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Once a country’s population begins to plummet, it means that the labor force in the future will begin to decline, and the country’s economy will also face recession, relying only on a large number of elderly people The power of China is simply not enough to promote the development of the country. Therefore, in many countries facing a plunge in population, the government has successively introduced various policies to encourage childbirth. In response to the aging problem, Japanese companies have formulated a new type of measure, which is to extend the retirement age. After reaching the age of 65, they can continue to stay in office according to their physical conditions. This will not only reduce the burden on the family, but also reduce the government’s burden. economic pressure. At present, many countries have followed Japan’s approach and adopted the method of extending the retirement age, but the premise is that the health and work ability meet the company’s standards.

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There are many reasons for the population decline. First of all, with the progress of the times, modern people’s thinking has changed. They no longer think that getting married and having children is a must in life. Many young people with higher education believe that it is more important to enrich their lives, so marriage and childbearing age begins. Constantly postponed. In the past, the age of childbirth was generally relatively small, but now the age of marriage and childbirth is delayed, and the age is old and unwilling to have children, which has led to a decrease in the number of births. Some young people even gave up the idea of ​​getting married and chose to be the Dink family.

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Secondly, the reason why many families are unwilling to have more children is because of financial burden. You know, nowadays, houses and cars have become necessities for marriage, and they cost millions at every turn. It takes decades for working-class families to repay loans. The life and economic pressure of the couple themselves is very heavy. If multiple children are born at this time, it will be expensive from parenting to education. Therefore, ordinary families are not willing to have two or more children. Although the Chinese government has introduced a second-child subsidy policy and even encourages the birth of three children, these preferential conditions are simply not enough to convince young families. Especially for families whose economic situation is depressed, they do not want children, but they are unable to pay for their children’s expenses at the same time when they bear the mortgage and car loan.

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p style=”text-align:start” >Of course, many people are curious why such a situation does not exist in India. The reason is very simple, because India’s low prices and traditional thinking, The cost of raising children is not high, so many families basically have multiple children. But one thing is that India’s domestic death rate is also relatively high, because the country’s medical level is relatively backward, so under such circumstances, the country’s population growth trend is still so strong, which shows that the birth rate is very prominent in the world. The problem that leads to aging is very simple, that is, the improvement of medical standards and the quality of life, and it is normal for people to live longer and longer.