Above average! Experts predict that the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is close to ultra-high intensity
China News Service, April 11, according to the US “World Journal” report, Colorado State University meteorological experts issued a long-term forecast, saying that the intensity of the Atlantic hurricane season in 2021 will be higher than average for the sixth consecutive year, and may be close to “Super high intensity” record.
p >A total of 30 Atlantic storms were named in 2020, an unprecedented record. Colorado State University experts predict that there will be 17 storms in 2021, five more than the previous year’s average of 12.1; there will be eight hurricanes, which is also more than the previous year’s average of 6.4.
This prediction is by no means good news for residents of the Gulf Coast. Many residents in this area are still deeply affected by the 2020 hurricane. Since 2016, Puerto Rico, the Bahamas, the Virgin Islands and Central American countries have been hit by mega hurricanes.
Scientists say that there may be four major hurricanes hitting the Atlantic coast in 2021, with an annual average of only 2.7 in the past 30 years. Storms with wind speeds above 111 miles per hour or category 3 are called major hurricanes.
The lead author of the forecast report, Klausbach, estimates that the probability of a major hurricane in the 48 contiguous states of the United States in 2021 is close to 70%, which is higher than the average of 50% in previous years.
The probability of a major hurricane on the east coast of the United States and the Gulf of Mexico is 45% each, and the probability of a hurricane of the same level invading the Caribbean Sea is 58%, partly because the sea level temperature is “unusually high.” “The La Niña phenomenon continues to slow down as one of the reasons.
Klauzbach’s forecast for 2020 is exactly the same as this year, including four major hurricanes. As a result, there will be a total of six major hurricanes in the 2020 hurricane season, and the intensity is 21% higher than the forecast.