Expert:If the United States boycotts the Winter Olympics, it will mean a”total breakdown” and a”complete showdown” in Sino-US relations

By yqqlm yqqlm

Source:Global Times-Global Net

[Global Times-Global Net Reporter Bai Yunyi] Will the United States come to the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022? In less than a day, the answer to this question has undergone a “roller coaster” change:on the 6th, the US State Department spokesperson’s statement was believed to have released a signal that “the United States is considering uniting its allies to boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics”, but then The U.S. State Department and the White House quickly rejected the rumors, saying that the U.S. President and government did not consider boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics.”This dramatic change… is the latest sign of the Biden government’s hesitation about this large event hosted by China”,”Wall Street The daily analysis said.

So, will the United States boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics? Analysts said in an interview with a”Global Times” reporter on the 8th that if the United States really joined forces with its allies to boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics, it would mean a complete breakdown of Sino-US relations, but the relations between the two countries are far from this level. However, although there is a high probability that the United States will not prohibit athletes from going to China to compete, in the next six months or so, the United States may still”add blockage” to the organization of the Winter Olympics on the economic, diplomatic, and public opinion levels, and adopt a”soft” approach.”Boycott”, even if it will cause loss of interest to the United States itself.

“In the past month, some foreign ambassadors in China began to discuss more about boycotting the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics The pros and cons of /span>”, Bloomberg reported on the 7th that although most of these people are skeptical about whether they will really boycott the Winter Olympics, they believe that in the next ten months, Many things may change. In the United States, the noise about boycotting the Winter Olympics is also very noisy:In addition to some human rights organizations, some lawmakers also hope that the White House calls for”change the host city of the Winter Olympics from Beijing to other locations,” although this is basically impossible.

Yuan Zheng, deputy director of the Institute of American Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, analyzed to a reporter from the Global Times that in the context of the increasingly extreme US public opinion on China, there are very serious voices of”boycotting the Beijing Winter Olympics”. Normal, but to what extent this noise can become a reality requires a question mark. He said that the”boycott of the Olympics” is a product of the Cold War era and has disappeared for decades. If the United States joins forces with its allies to boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics, it will mean a”total breakdown” and”complete showdown” of Sino-US relations. The”new cold war” between China and the United States has really come. However, the relationship between the two countries is far from this level, and it is very unlikely that the United States will ban its athletes from participating in Beijing.

“If the United States (China) is seen as taking the lead in boycotting the Winter Olympics, U.S.-China relations may deteriorate significantly.”United States Ge Laiyi, a senior researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think tank, said that China may also take tough countermeasures, such as banning the import of certain goods from countries that intend to boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics.

According to U.S. media reports, the U.S. Olympic Committee has repeatedly called for the discarding of the 1980s relic of the “full boycott of the Olympics” and reiterated on Wednesday that it does not support the boycott of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics. meeting.”We are convinced that such boycotts were ineffective in the past-especially in the 1980s (Moscow Olympics). Looking back, we believe that boycotts will only unfairly punish those who have been trained for a lifetime to have the opportunity to represent their country. Athlete.” said Susanna Lyons, chair of the U.S. Olympic and Paralympic Committee.

However, not prohibiting American athletes from participating in competitions in China does not mean that the United States will not continue to”make moves” on the issue of the Winter Olympics. In March of this year, US Senator Romney published a commentary in the”New York Times” suggesting that the United States should focus on diplomatic and economic aspects. Adopt a”soft boycott” against the Beijing Winter Olympics. Yuan Zheng told the Global Times reporter that the possibility that the United States will adopt a”soft boycott” of the Winter Olympics is not small, and it may continue to hype related issues in politics and public opinion as before the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics. To discredit China in order to interfere with the holding of the Winter Olympics. However, the”lethality” of this approach is much smaller, and it will be American companies, brands and other groups that will bear more losses. China will not actually have much loss.

At the same time, the analysis believes that even if the United States adopts a”soft boycott”, it may open the”Pandora’s box.” The BBC stated in a report on the 7th that for the International Olympic Committee, only the cost and Sponsor fees have been calculated in the billions of dollars, which does not count the sales revenue of various titled products and activities during the Olympic Games. Once the International Olympic Committee has opened this”flood gate” of political resistance, it may be difficult to say how the International Olympic Movement will develop in the future and where it will go.